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Projections and Forecasts

Migration in an ageing society
As negotiations over Scotland’s fiscal future in the UK progressed earlier this year, one obstacle loomed ever larger: Scotland’s long-term low rate of pop­ulation growth and falling support ratio, the number of people contributing to versus drawing from contribution-based social policies. Negotiators are right to fret. Falling support ratios make policies like pensions costlier for society and the economy. [...]
The draft of the scientific programme for the 2016 European Population Conference in Mainz is now available online. You can find more information here: http://epc2016.princeton.edu/topics. [...]
This report was prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. It is one of three reports that have been produced to guide the Commission’s deliberations. The central challenge in designing the post-2015 development agenda is to ensure that efforts to improve the quality of life of the present generation are far-reaching, broad and inclusive but do not compromise the ability of future generations to meet their needs. [...]
Following the great success of the first conference of the European Society of Historical Demography (ESHD), which took place from 25 to 27 September 2014 in Alghero (Italy), we are pleased to announce the second ESHD conference, which will take place from 21 to 24 September 2016 in Leuven (Belgium). [...]
INED celebrated its 70th anniversary with special conferences, September 22, 2015. Henri Leridon (INED) presents a history of forecast in population research. Realisation: Odile Gras © Institut national d’études démographiques The Population Europe Inter-Face Series has been published with financial support from the Progress programme of the European Union in the framework of the project ”Supporting a Partnership for Enhancing Europe’s Capacity to Tackle Demographic and Societal Change”. [...]
Paul-André Rosental (INED-Sciences po) presents the historical and ideological context of the early years of INED. Realisation: Odile Gras © Institut national d’études démographiques The Population Europe Inter-Face Series has been published with financial support from the Progress programme of the European Union in the framework of the project ”Supporting a Partnership for Enhancing Europe’s Capacity to Tackle Demographic and Societal Change”. [...]
Le 22 septembre 2015, l'Ined célébrait ses 70 ans lors d'une journée-débats. François Héran, directeur de recherche et ancien directeur de l'Ined, responsable du secteur Sciences humaines et sociales à l'Agence nationale de la recherche, fait une synthèse des débats de la journée et ouvre des pistes de réflexion sur l'avenir de l'institut. [...]
Course description: The last decades have witnessed significant changes in the attitudes of ecologists and evolutionary biologists towards open-access data. The availability of information on species’ conservation status (IUCN), geographic ranges (GBIF), functional traits (CLOPA, BIEN), demographic rates (COMPADRE, COMADRE, BIDDABA, MALDABA,  DATLife) offer the unprecedented opportunity to examine global drivers of life history strategies using robust statistical tools on large datasets using phylogenetic methods. [...]
The International Conference on Sequence Analysis and Related Methods will be held in Lausanne, June 8-10, 2016, four years after the Lausanne Conference on Sequence Analysis (LaCOSA). The conference aims to bring together scholars using innovative methods for analyzing longitudinal data in social, managerial, political, health or environmental sciences with developers of methods for longitudinal analysis. [...]

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