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Projections and Forecasts

Le 22 septembre 2015, l'Ined célébrait ses 70 ans lors d'une journée-débats. François Héran, directeur de recherche et ancien directeur de l'Ined, responsable du secteur Sciences humaines et sociales à l'Agence nationale de la recherche, fait une synthèse des débats de la journée et ouvre des pistes de réflexion sur l'avenir de l'institut. [...]
Come to the unique (free) interactive exhibition ‘How to get to 100…and enjoy it’ and find out how you can live longer pleasantly. The exhibition runs from June 7 to June 19 in the Aa Church. [...]
The next Alpine Population Conference will take place in La Thuile (Aosta Valley, Italy) from January 14 to 17, 2018. Organised by the Carlo F. Dondena Centre of Bocconi University and the Swiss National Centre of Competence in Research LIVES, Alp-Pop brings together scholars interested in population issues across several disciplines, including demography, economics, epidemiology, political science, sociology and psychology. Scope [...]
The next Alpine Population Conference will take place in La Thuile (Aosta Valley, Italy) from January 14 to 17, 2018. Organised by the Carlo F. Dondena Centre of Bocconi University and the Swiss National Centre of Competence in Research LIVES, Alp-Pop brings together scholars interested in population issues across several disciplines, including demography, economics, epidemiology, political science, sociology and psychology. Scope [...]
A European team of 25 researchers focused on the issue of declining birth rates in three German-speaking countries. A summary of their findings and recommendations has now been published in a booklet that questions many commen myths. It can be downloaded for free in English, German and French (see link). The team, gathered between 2009 and 2012 by the Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Sciences and Humanities and the Leopoldina, represents various disciplines – sociology, demography, history and medicine. [...]
An analytical report prepared by Asghar Zaidi and David Stanton under the joint management project by the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and the European Commission’s Directorate General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion (DG EMPL) was launched on 16 April 2015 at an International Seminar “Building an evidence base for active ageing policies: the Active Ageing Index and its potential”. [...]
A world population of 7 billion in 2011... and how many tomorrow? For thousands of years, human beings were a rare species and their numbers grew very slowly. By around 1800, the population began to increase rapidly, starting in the rich countries and then, from the twentieth century, in the rest of the world. What are the reasons for this growth, and what factors are affecting the population today? Will the world population level off in the years to come? How will the world be populated in the future? [...]
Course description Panel data offer advantages for analyzing individual dynamics and identifying causal effects. This course will present methods that allow capitalizing on these advantages: fixed-effects methods and growth curve models. The course will be on an applied level in that not the mathematics but the intuition behind the models will be emphasized. Real data examples using the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), the German Family Panel (pairfam) and Stata will be presented. [...]
Educational film about the causes and consequences of demographic change in Germany. (language: German) © MPIDR / FWU   [...]
Following the great success of the first conference of the European Society of Historical Demography (ESHD), which took place from 25 to 27 September 2014 in Alghero (Italy), we are pleased to announce the second ESHD conference, which will take place from 21 to 24 September 2016 in Leuven (Belgium). [...]

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